Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000202 0.000226 0.000251 0.000281 0.000314 0.000350 0.000391
2024-12-22 0.000167 0.000199 0.000236 0.000281 0.000335 0.000397 0.000474
2024-12-29 0.000142 0.000179 0.000223 0.000281 0.000353 0.000442 0.000558
2025-01-05 0.000121 0.000160 0.000210 0.000277 0.000366 0.000480 0.000637
2025-01-12 0.000106 0.000147 0.000200 0.000276 0.000382 0.000522 0.000725
2025-01-19 0.000095 0.000136 0.000194 0.000278 0.000399 0.000568 0.000822
2025-01-26 0.000084 0.000125 0.000184 0.000274 0.000409 0.000602 0.000904
2025-02-02 0.000079 0.000123 0.000186 0.000287 0.000442 0.000673 0.001047
2025-02-09 0.000073 0.000117 0.000183 0.000291 0.000463 0.000728 0.001168
2025-02-16 0.000068 0.000112 0.000180 0.000294 0.000482 0.000780 0.001291
2025-02-23 0.000062 0.000105 0.000174 0.000294 0.000495 0.000823 0.001402
2025-03-02 0.000057 0.000098 0.000167 0.000288 0.000499 0.000851 0.001490
2025-03-09 0.000052 0.000093 0.000162 0.000287 0.000512 0.000898 0.001619
2025-03-16 0.000048 0.000088 0.000158 0.000288 0.000527 0.000951 0.001763
2025-03-23 0.000045 0.000084 0.000154 0.000289 0.000543 0.001004 0.001914
2025-03-30 0.000041 0.000079 0.000148 0.000285 0.000550 0.001043 0.002041
2025-04-06 0.000038 0.000075 0.000144 0.000284 0.000563 0.001094 0.002197
2025-04-13 0.000035 0.000072 0.000142 0.000286 0.000580 0.001155 0.002378
2025-04-20 0.000033 0.000068 0.000137 0.000282 0.000586 0.001193 0.002516
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000068 0.000140 0.000295 0.000627 0.001305 0.002819
2025-05-04 0.000030 0.000066 0.000139 0.000300 0.000650 0.001385 0.003059
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000064 0.000137 0.000303 0.000671 0.001460 0.003298
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000061 0.000134 0.000302 0.000684 0.001519 0.003506